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Political Strategy
A new HDC standing committee has been formed in order to meet Goal 2 of the HDC Strategic Plan, which charges HDC with building "an internal structure for political action," including forming a standing committee that will "propose policies to recruit candidates for local offices" and "monitor government activities." The major goal of the Political Strategy Committee is to identify, recruit and support candidates for office.

Redistricting Update
Tuesday, 05 April 2011 13:06

There may be some great news headed our way. The Senate redistricting plan calls for Senator Donald McEachin to represent three precincts in Hanover. At last, some Democratic representation for Hanover! If the proposed 9th VA Senate district is approved, three Hanover precincts will be transferred to the 9th; Ashland, Elmont, and Stony Run. The plan also creates a new Senatorial District in Richmond and Tom Shields is expected to be nominated to run in this new Senate District to help hold our majority in the Senate.

Virginia has a divided legislature to undertake the thorny issue of redistricting. With the Senate controlled by Democrats and a large majority of Republicans in the House of Delegates, it will be a challenge to resolve all disputes quickly, so that the November elections will not be impacted, although it seems that the House and Senate are allowing each other free rein. The proposed maps drawn by the Democrats in the Senate and the Republicans in the House were released on March 29. The General Assembly will return to Richmond on Monday for a special redistricting session that is expected to last several days.
Another important issue is that Virginia is required to submit its proposed redistricting plan to the Justice Department for approval. This is mandated in the 1965 Voting Rights Act, to ensure any gerrymandering does not dilute the power of minority voters.

At the local level, public meetings are taking place. Some of the issues heard so far at these meetings include:

  • whether to expand the Beaverdam district into Henry District or bring it down 301 towards Pearsons Corner and Rutland in order to add population;
  • whether to give some of the Town of Ashland to Beaverdam District;
  • whether to add Crown Colony to Chickahominy District while taking much of the remaining part of Kings Charter that is in Chickahominy and adding it to Ashland District.

The schedule is likely to be accelerated, with a presentation to the Board of Supervisors on April 13 and the public hearing on May 4.

 
HDC's Alternative Redistricting Proposal
Friday, 15 April 2011 20:24

The new boundaries suggested under the HDC's alternative redistricting proposal submitted to the Hanover Board of Supervisors on April 13 include:

  1. The Cool Spring precinct in Chickahominy district would become part of the Ashland district. It could be added to the existing Sliding Hill precinct or become a new precinct within the Ashland district.
  2. The Totopotomoy neighborhood and the portion of Kings Charter currently in the Ashland district would rejoin the Chickahominy district. The northwestern boundary of the new Chickahominy district would be easily recognizable as Sliding Hill Road, and the shapes of both the Ashland and Chickahominy districts would become more regular and compact.
  3. Beaverdam would expand to include the northern half of Henry's Georgetown precinct. The new district line would start at Route 301 and Kersey Creek, follow Kersey Creek east to Georgetown Road, then follow Fire Lane to Pollard Creek Road, and go north on Pollard Creek Road following the existing precinct boundary to the Pamunkey River.
  4. Henry would lose area to Beaverdam but pick up the northern portion of the Old Church precinct in the Cold Harbor district. The new Henry district line would start at Route 360 and Old Church Road, follow Old Church Road east to Piping Tree Ferry Road, then along Piping Tree Ferry Road to Matadequin Creek, and along Matadequin Creek to the Pamunkey River. Note that if the Old Church community would be deemed a community of interest split by this plan, the proposed boundary could deviate southward from Old Church Road to include all of Old Church in the new Henry district, or north of Old Church to keep it within the Cold Harbor district (the latter option would require allowing Cold Harbor to deviate from the goal population size by about 3.0%, however).
  5. To conform to the state 9th Virginia Senate district, the boundary for Stony Run precinct would be redefined to run along Elmont Road from the town boundary south to Ashcake Road, then west along Ashcake Road to the South Anna magisterial district line.
hdc-plan

Current

Add

Subtract

Net Change

New Total

Goal Total

Variance

Ashland

13,251

3,264

2,291

+973

14,224

14,266

-0.29%

Beaverdam

12,879

1,114

0

+1,114

13,993

14,266

-1.91%

Chickahominy

15,061

2,291

3,264

-973

14,088

14,266

-1.25%

Cold Harbor

15,211

0

602

-602

14,609

14,266

+2.40%

Henry

14,874

602

1,114

-512

14,362

14,266

+0.39%

Mechanicsville

14,518

0

0

0

14,518

14,266

+1.77%

South Anna

14,069

0

0

0

14,069

14,266

-1.38%

 
Redistricting data by Magisterial District
Friday, 04 March 2011 08:02

The 2010 US Census data file became available for Virginia on Feb. 3. This release was ahead of schedule and the census was $1.6 billion (with a "b") under budget, thanks to the efforts of many hard-working public servants, from Census Bureau Director Bob Groves to the enumerators who fanned out across the nation last year. Here are the census numbers for Hanover County by magisterial district.

  • Total population in Hanover County: 99,863
  • Total magisterial districts: 7
  • Ideal population per district after redistricting: 14,266 (this is just 99,863/7)
District Actual Population Now Adjustment needed to reach ideal population Percent off from ideal right now
Ashland 13,251 +1,015 -7.12%
Beaverdam 12,879 +1,387 -9.72%
Chickahominy 15,061 -795 +5.57%
Cold Harbor 15,061 -945 +6.62%
Henry 15,211 -608 +4.26%
Mechanicsville 14,518 -252 +1.77%
South Anna 14,069 +197 -1.38%

Redistricting guidelines and case law would ordinarily allow district populations to vary within +/- 5% of the ideal size. That yields a cushion of about 703 people either way from the ideal size of 14,266. Presumably, Beaverdam could add anywhere from about 644 to 2,050 people and be legal. Ashland also needs to grow. There are other considerations in creating a legal redistricting plan, including keeping "communities of interest" together and protecting minority voting rights. The county will have public meetings this spring about redistricting. Citizen input may decrease the chances of gerrymandering.

District

Actual population now

Adjustment needed to reach ideal population

Percent off from ideal right now

Ashland

13,251

+1,015

-7.12%

Beaverdam

12,879

+1,387

-9.72%

Chickahominy

15,061

-795

+5.57%

Cold Harbor

15,211

-945

+6.62%

Henry

14,874

-608

+4.26%

Mechanicsville

14,518

-252

+1.77%

South Anna

14,069

+197

-1.38%

 
Redistricting

Redistricting of national, state and local political boundaries in response to the 2010 census will likely have a major impact on the 2011 elections. The concern, of course, is that Republicans will further gerrymander districts at all levels to expand and solidify their electoral power. The Political Strategy Committee will closely monitor the redistricting process. This is also an opportunity for all HDC members to become actively involved. The more Democratic eyes, ears and voices the better!

State Redistricting.   At the state level, the Division of Legislative Services is the lead agency. In a nutshell, the Virginia Senate and the House of Delegates must pass a redistricting plan in the form of a bill that will be signed into law by the Governor.  The redistricting plan then must be approved by the US Department of Justice in compliance with the Voting Rights Act of 1965.  All of this must be accomplished between February/March 2011 (depending on when the state receives the census data) and August 23, 2011, the date of any primaries for the November election.  Information on redistricting the Virginia Senate, House of Delegates, and US Congressional districts can be found at: http://disgis.state.va.us.  In addition to providing links to redistricting information, this site lets you sign up for email news and alerts.  DLS also will host a website that allows citizens to use interactive maps to give input on how specific boundaries should be drawn.  The interactive maps will not be available until the US Census data is received.

County Redistricting.   At the county level, Hanover’s seven magisterial districts also will undergo redistricting in order to maintain essentially equal populations.  Here, redistricting legislation is the responsibility of the Board of Supervisors.  The lead agency is the County Information Technology Department, which will oversee a project team drawn from many other areas of county government.  Hanover County government has established a web page for redistricting as part of its website at: http://www.co.hanover.va.us/board/redistrict.  Currently there is little information on the site.  In addition, county administrators are suggesting that citizens sign up for Hanover County email alerts in order to learn the latest about redistricting. That sign up is available at http://www.co.hanover.va.us.  At its September 22nd meeting, the Board of Supervisors approved a timeline for redistricting. While it is similar to the expected timeline for redistricting at the state level, public meetings will not happen until “sometime” between March 2011 and May 2011.  The Board of Supervisors’ formal public hearing on redistricting will not occur until June 8th, clearly after decisions have been made.
 
Identifying Potential Candidates
At both the state and county level, the redistricting process means a very shortened campaign period, which makes it difficult for challengers. That said, HDC still needs to proceed with recruiting potential candidates and moving ahead with the election process.

The following offices are up for election in Hanover County in 2011:

  • Virginia Senate 4th District
  • House of Delegates 55th District
  • House of Delegates 97th District
  • All 7 Board of Supervisors positions
  • Commissioner of the Revenue
  • County Treasurer
  • County Sheriff
  • Commonwealth's Attorney
  • Clerk of the Circuit Court